On December 13, 2023, in Washington, D.C., a new Center for Truth in Science initiative on the Probability of Causation will be presented to the scientific, regulatory, and policy communities at the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) Annual Meeting.

The symposium is titled: Interventional Probability of Causation with Potential Applications to Formaldehyde Leukemogenicity. It will introduce groundbreaking work that a group of risk analysts and epidemiologists have been doing to apply an innovative “state of the science” method to better determine causality from observational study data.

Presenters will also discuss how their method compares with current practices, using a recently completed systematic review as a case study. The review looks at current literature on whether or not inhaled formaldehyde causes LHP cancers, such as leukemia. This new research was funded by the Center For Truth in Science after an independent expert review of proposals and completed by an independent team of researchers at ToxStrategies.

The findings from this systematic review (which is titled, The Importance of Evidence-Based Methods and Critical Appraisal of Systematic Biases in Evaluating Causation: Study on Formaldehyde and Lymphohematopoietic Cancers) are new and will be featured at the symposium, where attendees will be able to hear and discuss them.

The purpose of the symposium is to introduce, illustrate, and discuss Interventional Probability of Causation (IPoC) concepts, and highlight approaches that may prove useful for more accurately determining causality in areas of regulatory risk assessment, cost-benefit analysis, and litigation. 

The Society for Risk Analysis is an international organization that provides an open forum for all those interested in risk analysis. Founded in 1980, the Society currently has 2,000+ members. It aims to:

  1. Bring together individuals from diverse disciplines and from different countries and provide them opportunities to exchange information, ideas, and methodologies for risk analysis and risk problem solving
  2. Foster understanding and professional collaboration among individuals and organizations for the purpose of contributing to risk analysis and risk problem solving
  3. Facilitate the dissemination of knowledge about risk and risk methods and their applications
  4. Encourage applications of risk analysis methods
  5. Promote advancement of the state-of-the-art in research and education on risk analysis
  6. Provide services to its members to assist them in developing their careers in risk analysis

The Center is looking forward to cheering on these presenters as they showcase the important work they’ve been doing to advance these objectives. The program for this particular session, as well as the entire meeting, can be found here:

Symposium: Interventional Probability of Causation with Potential Applications to Formaldehyde Leukemogenicity

SRA 2023 Annual Meeting program